Menu | Explaining level changesAndy Gore v Alex Maling (Sun 17 Aug 2025)Match won by Andy Gore. Result: 6-1.Starting level for Andy Gore: 443, level confidence: 50%. Starting level for Alex Maling: 493, level confidence: 71%. Set manually. Alex Maling to win as she is currently playing 11% better than Andy Gore. Andy Gore won 86% of the points. Andy Gore has played significantly better in this match than his level suggests and this is backed up by his last three results so use accelerated level adjustment to get his level right more quickly. As a result, his pre-match level has been increased to 495. The remaining calculations use this as his level coming in to this match. Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Andy Gore actually played at a level of 703 and Alex Maling at a level of 347. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 42% to match this result. As this is a best of 1 match rather than best of 5, these adjustments have been reduced to 33% and 33% respectively. Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Andy Gore changes to +33% and Alex Maling changes to -21%. After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Andy Gore becomes +16.9% and for Alex Maling becomes -12%. Apply match/event weighting of 50% for 'Redland Boxes' so the adjustment for Andy Gore is +8.5% and for Alex Maling is -5.5%. Apply limits to the amount of change for a single match which are based on player level, level confidence and time since last match so that Alex Maling is limited to -5% level change. In general a player's level won't go up by more than 10% or drop more than 5% if they've played in the last 7 days but those limits are relaxed if their previous match was further back. As Andy Gore has a provisional level, this match has been used to calibrate his level so Alex Maling's level has been left unchanged. Including the accelerated level adjustment, the total adjustment for Andy Gore is +21%. Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Andy Gore: 71%, Alex Maling: 84%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Andy Gore: 47%, Alex Maling: 56%. A final adjustment of -5.3% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools. Final level for Andy Gore: 484, level confidence: 47%. Final level for Alex Maling: 493, level confidence: 56%. Notes
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